EdgeTake

RF · CHC

Kevin Alcántara — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
6
Hits
1
Per Game
0.17
Projection
0.71
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Kevin Alcántara (CHC) has averaged 0.17 hits per game across 6 games this season, with the last 10 steady at 0.17. The over on 0.5 has hit in 17% of games. We project 0.71, ahead of the 0.5 market line.

Next matchup

Next: vs ATH — their staff ranks 22 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Under 0.5 +101 at DraftKings — model 48% to hit, -2.6% EV.

Over 0.5 -120 BetMGMUnder 0.5 +101 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Kevin Alcántara went over in 1 of 6 2026 games.

Our projection 0.71 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.21.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.51/617%
1.50/60%
2.50/60%

Share of 2026 games Alcántara finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 6 avg
0.17
Season avg
0.17

Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 6 games.

Home / away splits

Home (2)
0.00
Away (4)
0.25
Home edge
-0.25

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-05-23vs HOU0Under
2026-05-26vs PIT0Under
2026-05-27vs PIT0Under
2026-05-28vs PIT0Under
2026-05-31vs STL1Over
2026-06-03vs ATH0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Kevin Alcántara’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.