SS · DET
Kevin McGonigle — Hits
2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Kevin McGonigle (DET) sits at 1.07 hits per game through 59 games, and the last 10 hold near that at 1.1. The over on 0.5 has hit in 75% of games. We project 0.93, ahead of the 0.83 market line.
Next: vs SEA — their staff ranks 5 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
Under 0.5 +165 at BetMGM — model 38% to hit, -0.4% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Kevin McGonigle went over in 44 of 59 2026 games.
Our projection 0.93 vs market line 0.83 — edge +0.1.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 44/59 | 75% |
| 1.5 | 14/59 | 24% |
| 2.5 | 4/59 | 7% |
Share of 2026 games McGonigle finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 8 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Hits
| Date | Opp | Hits | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs SD | 4 | Over |
| 2026-03-28 | vs SD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-29 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs AZ | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-01 | vs AZ | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-03 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-04 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-05 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-06 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-07 | vs MIN | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-08 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-09 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs MIA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs MIA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-12 | vs MIA | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-14 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-16 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-17 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs BOS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-20 | vs BOS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-21 | vs MIL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-23 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-24 | vs CIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs CIN | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs CIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-28 | vs ATL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs ATL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-30 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-01 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs TEX | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs TEX | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-05 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-10 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-12 | vs NYM | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-13 | vs NYM | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-14 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-15 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs TOR | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs TOR | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-18 | vs CLE | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs CLE | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-21 | vs CLE | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-22 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-23 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-24 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-26 | vs LAA | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs LAA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-28 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-01 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Kevin McGonigle’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.