EdgeTake

SS · DET

Kevin McGonigle — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
59
Total Bases
90
Per Game
1.53
Projection
1.31
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Kevin McGonigle (DET) sits at 1.53 total bases per game through 59 games, with the last 10 steady at 1.6. The over on 1.5 has hit in 36% of games. We project 1.31, short of the 1.52 market line.

Next matchup

Next: vs SEA — their staff ranks 5 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Under 1.5 -175 at BetMGM — model 64% to hit, +0.7% EV.

Over 1.5 +151 DraftKingsUnder 1.5 -175 BetMGM

At a line of 1.5 (williamhill_us), Kevin McGonigle went over in 21 of 59 2026 games.

Our projection 1.31 vs market line 1.52 — edge -0.21.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.544/5975%
1.521/5936%
2.511/5919%
3.56/5910%

Share of 2026 games McGonigle finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
1.60
Season avg
1.53

Over 1.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (27)
1.44
Away (32)
1.59
Home edge
-0.15

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-03-26vs SD6Over
2026-03-28vs SD1Under
2026-03-29vs SD0Under
2026-03-31vs AZ0Under
2026-04-01vs AZ1Under
2026-04-01vs AZ4Over
2026-04-03vs STL2Over
2026-04-04vs STL1Under
2026-04-05vs STL0Under
2026-04-06vs MIN2Over
2026-04-07vs MIN3Over
2026-04-08vs MIN1Under
2026-04-09vs MIN0Under
2026-04-10vs MIA1Under
2026-04-11vs MIA2Over
2026-04-12vs MIA6Over
2026-04-14vs KC0Under
2026-04-15vs KC1Under
2026-04-16vs KC3Over
2026-04-17vs BOS1Under
2026-04-18vs BOS2Over
2026-04-20vs BOS3Over
2026-04-21vs MIL3Over
2026-04-22vs MIL2Over
2026-04-23vs MIL2Over
2026-04-24vs CIN1Under
2026-04-25vs CIN7Over
2026-04-26vs CIN1Under
2026-04-28vs ATL1Under
2026-04-29vs ATL2Over
2026-04-30vs ATL0Under
2026-05-01vs TEX0Under
2026-05-02vs TEX1Under
2026-05-03vs TEX2Over
2026-05-05vs BOS0Under
2026-05-06vs BOS0Under
2026-05-08vs KC0Under
2026-05-09vs KC1Under
2026-05-10vs KC1Under
2026-05-12vs NYM3Over
2026-05-13vs NYM1Under
2026-05-14vs NYM0Under
2026-05-15vs TOR0Under
2026-05-16vs TOR2Over
2026-05-17vs TOR1Under
2026-05-18vs CLE1Under
2026-05-19vs CLE1Under
2026-05-20vs CLE0Under
2026-05-21vs CLE1Under
2026-05-22vs BAL4Over
2026-05-23vs BAL1Under
2026-05-24vs BAL1Under
2026-05-26vs LAA5Over
2026-05-27vs LAA2Over
2026-05-28vs LAA0Under
2026-05-29vs CWS0Under
2026-05-30vs CWS1Under
2026-05-31vs CWS1Under
2026-06-01vs TB1Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Kevin McGonigle’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.