EdgeTake

C · TEX

Kyle Higashioka — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
29
Runs
11
Per Game
0.38
Projection
0.42
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Kyle Higashioka (TEX) has averaged 0.38 runs per game across 29 games this season, and the last 10 have been hotter at 0.6. They've gone over 0.5 in 34% of those games. Our model projects 0.42, below the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: vs CLE — their staff ranks 7 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +187 DraftKingsUnder 0.5 -250 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Kyle Higashioka went over in 10 of 29 2026 games.

Our projection 0.42 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.08.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.510/2934%
1.51/293%

Share of 2026 games Higashioka finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.60
Season avg
0.38

Over 0.5 in 5 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (12)
0.25
Away (17)
0.47
Home edge
-0.22

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-03-26vs PHI1Over
2026-03-29vs PHI0Under
2026-03-30vs BAL1Over
2026-04-05vs CIN0Under
2026-04-08vs SEA1Over
2026-04-12vs LAD0Under
2026-04-14vs ATH1Over
2026-04-16vs ATH1Over
2026-04-18vs SEA0Under
2026-04-23vs PIT0Under
2026-04-25vs ATH0Under
2026-04-28vs NYY0Under
2026-04-29vs NYY0Under
2026-05-03vs DET0Under
2026-05-05vs NYY0Under
2026-05-06vs NYY0Under
2026-05-09vs CHC0Under
2026-05-12vs AZ0Under
2026-05-13vs AZ0Under
2026-05-16vs HOU0Under
2026-05-17vs HOU2Over
2026-05-19vs COL0Under
2026-05-20vs COL0Under
2026-05-24vs LAA1Over
2026-05-24vs LAA0Under
2026-05-27vs HOU1Over
2026-05-29vs HOU0Under
2026-05-31vs KC1Over
2026-06-02vs STL1Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Kyle Higashioka’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.