EdgeTake

1B · CLE

Kyle Manzardo — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
53
Runs
21
Per Game
0.40
Projection
0.42
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 53 games this season, Kyle Manzardo (CLE) is averaging 0.4 runs per game, tracking close to that at 0.4 over the last 10. They've gone over 0.5 in 32% of those games. We project 0.42, short of the 0.5 market line.

Next matchup

Next: @ NYY — their staff ranks 4 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +210 DraftKingsUnder 0.5 -275 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Kyle Manzardo went over in 17 of 53 2026 games.

Our projection 0.42 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.08.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.517/5332%
1.54/538%

Share of 2026 games Manzardo finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.40
Season avg
0.40

Over 0.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (28)
0.36
Away (25)
0.44
Home edge
-0.08

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-03-27vs SEA0Under
2026-03-28vs SEA0Under
2026-03-29vs SEA0Under
2026-03-29vs SEA0Under
2026-03-31vs LAD0Under
2026-04-01vs LAD1Over
2026-04-02vs LAD0Under
2026-04-03vs CHC0Under
2026-04-05vs CHC0Under
2026-04-06vs KC0Under
2026-04-07vs KC0Under
2026-04-08vs KC0Under
2026-04-10vs ATL1Over
2026-04-12vs ATL0Under
2026-04-14vs STL1Over
2026-04-15vs STL0Under
2026-04-16vs BAL0Under
2026-04-17vs BAL0Under
2026-04-18vs BAL0Under
2026-04-20vs HOU0Under
2026-04-21vs HOU0Under
2026-04-22vs HOU0Under
2026-04-24vs TOR0Under
2026-04-25vs TOR0Under
2026-04-26vs TOR0Under
2026-04-27vs TB0Under
2026-04-28vs TB0Under
2026-04-29vs TB0Under
2026-05-02vs ATH1Over
2026-05-02vs ATH1Over
2026-05-03vs ATH0Under
2026-05-05vs KC1Over
2026-05-06vs KC0Under
2026-05-07vs KC1Over
2026-05-09vs MIN0Under
2026-05-10vs MIN1Over
2026-05-11vs LAA2Over
2026-05-12vs LAA0Under
2026-05-13vs LAA0Under
2026-05-15vs CIN2Over
2026-05-16vs CIN1Over
2026-05-17vs CIN2Over
2026-05-19vs DET2Over
2026-05-20vs DET0Under
2026-05-22vs PHI1Over
2026-05-23vs PHI0Under
2026-05-25vs WSH1Over
2026-05-26vs WSH0Under
2026-05-27vs WSH0Under
2026-05-29vs BOS1Over
2026-05-30vs BOS0Under
2026-05-31vs BOS0Under
2026-06-02vs NYY1Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Kyle Manzardo’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.