EdgeTake

LF · MIA

Kyle Stowers — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
39
Hits
32
Per Game
0.82
Projection
0.81
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Kyle Stowers (MIA) has averaged 0.82 hits per game across 39 games this season, and the last 10 hold near that at 0.9. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 54% of games this season. Our model projects 0.81, a step above the market line of 0.73.

Next matchup

Next: vs TB — their staff ranks 14 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Under 0.5 +179 at DraftKings — model 39% to hit, +9.6% EV.

Over 0.5 -225 BetRiversUnder 0.5 +179 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (betrivers), Kyle Stowers went over in 21 of 39 2026 games.

Our projection 0.81 vs market line 0.73 — edge +0.08.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.521/3954%
1.58/3921%
2.53/398%

Share of 2026 games Stowers finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.90
Season avg
0.82

Over 0.5 in 6 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (19)
0.79
Away (20)
0.85
Home edge
-0.06

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-04-19vs MIL2Over
2026-04-20vs STL1Over
2026-04-21vs STL0Under
2026-04-25vs SF3Over
2026-04-25vs SF0Under
2026-04-26vs SF0Under
2026-04-28vs LAD0Under
2026-04-29vs LAD2Over
2026-04-29vs LAD0Under
2026-05-01vs PHI0Under
2026-05-02vs PHI1Over
2026-05-03vs PHI1Over
2026-05-04vs PHI2Over
2026-05-05vs BAL0Under
2026-05-06vs BAL1Over
2026-05-07vs BAL0Under
2026-05-08vs WSH0Under
2026-05-09vs WSH3Over
2026-05-10vs WSH0Under
2026-05-12vs MIN1Over
2026-05-13vs MIN0Under
2026-05-14vs MIN0Under
2026-05-15vs TB0Under
2026-05-16vs TB1Over
2026-05-17vs TB1Over
2026-05-18vs ATL1Over
2026-05-19vs ATL1Over
2026-05-21vs ATL2Over
2026-05-22vs NYM0Under
2026-05-23vs NYM0Under
2026-05-24vs NYM0Under
2026-05-25vs TOR2Over
2026-05-26vs TOR0Under
2026-05-27vs TOR1Over
2026-05-29vs NYM3Over
2026-05-30vs NYM0Under
2026-05-31vs NYM1Over
2026-06-01vs WSH1Over
2026-06-02vs WSH1Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Kyle Stowers’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.