EdgeTake

LF · MIA

Kyle Stowers — Home Runs

2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
39
Home Runs
4
Per Game
0.10
Projection
0.16
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Kyle Stowers (MIA) has averaged 0.1 home runs per game across 39 games this season, tracking close to that at 0.1 over the last 10. The over on 1.5 has hit in 3% of games. Our model projects 0.16, below the market line of 1.29.

Next matchup

Next: vs TB — their staff ranks 14 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +425 Caesars

At a line of 1.5 (betrivers), Kyle Stowers went over in 1 of 39 2026 games.

Our projection 0.16 vs market line 1.29 — edge -1.13.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.53/398%

Share of 2026 games Stowers finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.10
Season avg
0.10

Over 1.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (19)
0.16
Away (20)
0.05
Home edge
+0.11

Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs

DateOppHome Runsvs Line
2026-04-19vs MIL0Under
2026-04-20vs STL0Under
2026-04-21vs STL0Under
2026-04-25vs SF0Under
2026-04-25vs SF0Under
2026-04-26vs SF0Under
2026-04-28vs LAD0Under
2026-04-29vs LAD0Under
2026-04-29vs LAD0Under
2026-05-01vs PHI0Under
2026-05-02vs PHI0Under
2026-05-03vs PHI0Under
2026-05-04vs PHI0Under
2026-05-05vs BAL0Under
2026-05-06vs BAL0Under
2026-05-07vs BAL0Under
2026-05-08vs WSH0Under
2026-05-09vs WSH1Under
2026-05-10vs WSH0Under
2026-05-12vs MIN0Under
2026-05-13vs MIN0Under
2026-05-14vs MIN0Under
2026-05-15vs TB0Under
2026-05-16vs TB0Under
2026-05-17vs TB0Under
2026-05-18vs ATL0Under
2026-05-19vs ATL0Under
2026-05-21vs ATL2Over
2026-05-22vs NYM0Under
2026-05-23vs NYM0Under
2026-05-24vs NYM0Under
2026-05-25vs TOR0Under
2026-05-26vs TOR0Under
2026-05-27vs TOR0Under
2026-05-29vs NYM0Under
2026-05-30vs NYM0Under
2026-05-31vs NYM0Under
2026-06-01vs WSH1Under
2026-06-02vs WSH0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Kyle Stowers’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.