EdgeTake

RF · LAD

Kyle Tucker — Home Runs

2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
58
Home Runs
4
Per Game
0.07
Projection
0.13
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 58 games this season, Kyle Tucker (LAD) is averaging 0.07 home runs per game, while recent form sits lower at 0 over the last 10. They've gone over 0.5 in 7% of those games. We project 0.13, short of the 1.23 market line.

Next matchup

Next: @ AZ — their staff ranks 15 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +625 Caesars

At a line of 0.5 (betonlineag), Kyle Tucker went over in 4 of 58 2026 games.

Our projection 0.13 vs market line 1.23 — edge -1.1.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.54/587%

Share of 2026 games Tucker finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.00
Season avg
0.07

Over 0.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (30)
0.03
Away (28)
0.11
Home edge
-0.07

Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs

DateOppHome Runsvs Line
2026-03-27vs AZ0Under
2026-03-28vs AZ0Under
2026-03-29vs AZ0Under
2026-03-31vs CLE0Under
2026-04-01vs CLE0Under
2026-04-02vs CLE0Under
2026-04-03vs WSH1Over
2026-04-04vs WSH0Under
2026-04-05vs WSH0Under
2026-04-06vs TOR0Under
2026-04-07vs TOR0Under
2026-04-08vs TOR0Under
2026-04-11vs TEX0Under
2026-04-12vs TEX0Under
2026-04-12vs TEX0Under
2026-04-14vs NYM0Under
2026-04-15vs NYM0Under
2026-04-16vs NYM1Over
2026-04-18vs COL0Under
2026-04-19vs COL1Over
2026-04-19vs COL0Under
2026-04-22vs SF0Under
2026-04-23vs SF0Under
2026-04-23vs SF0Under
2026-04-25vs CHC0Under
2026-04-25vs CHC0Under
2026-04-26vs CHC0Under
2026-04-28vs MIA0Under
2026-04-29vs MIA0Under
2026-04-29vs MIA0Under
2026-05-02vs STL0Under
2026-05-02vs STL0Under
2026-05-03vs STL0Under
2026-05-05vs HOU1Over
2026-05-06vs HOU0Under
2026-05-06vs HOU0Under
2026-05-09vs ATL0Under
2026-05-10vs ATL0Under
2026-05-10vs ATL0Under
2026-05-12vs SF0Under
2026-05-13vs SF0Under
2026-05-14vs SF0Under
2026-05-15vs SF0Under
2026-05-16vs LAA0Under
2026-05-17vs LAA0Under
2026-05-19vs SD0Under
2026-05-20vs SD0Under
2026-05-21vs SD0Under
2026-05-22vs MIL0Under
2026-05-23vs MIL0Under
2026-05-24vs MIL0Under
2026-05-26vs COL0Under
2026-05-27vs COL0Under
2026-05-30vs PHI0Under
2026-05-31vs PHI0Under
2026-05-31vs PHI0Under
2026-06-02vs AZ0Under
2026-06-03vs AZ0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Kyle Tucker’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.