EdgeTake

CF · KC

Lane Thomas — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
44
Hits
24
Per Game
0.55
Projection
0.68
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Lane Thomas (KC) sits at 0.55 hits per game through 44 games, trending up to 0.8 across the last 10. 41% of those games have finished over 0.5. We project 0.68, ahead of the 0.55 market line.

Next matchup

Next: @ MIN — their staff ranks 23 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Under 0.5 +155 at BetMGM — model 45% to hit, +14.1% EV.

Over 0.5 -161 DraftKingsUnder 0.5 +155 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (fanatics), Lane Thomas went over in 18 of 44 2026 games.

Our projection 0.68 vs market line 0.55 — edge +0.13.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.518/4441%
1.54/449%
2.52/445%

Share of 2026 games Thomas finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.80
Season avg
0.55

Over 0.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (21)
0.48
Away (23)
0.61
Home edge
-0.13

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-03-27vs ATL1Over
2026-03-28vs ATL0Under
2026-03-29vs ATL0Under
2026-03-30vs MIN0Under
2026-04-02vs MIN0Under
2026-04-04vs MIL1Over
2026-04-05vs MIL0Under
2026-04-08vs CLE0Under
2026-04-09vs CWS1Over
2026-04-11vs CWS0Under
2026-04-14vs DET1Over
2026-04-15vs DET1Over
2026-04-16vs DET1Over
2026-04-17vs NYY1Over
2026-04-18vs NYY0Under
2026-04-19vs NYY1Over
2026-04-20vs BAL0Under
2026-04-22vs BAL1Over
2026-04-24vs LAA0Under
2026-04-26vs LAA3Over
2026-04-29vs ATH1Over
2026-04-30vs ATH1Over
2026-04-30vs ATH0Under
2026-05-02vs SEA1Over
2026-05-04vs CLE0Under
2026-05-06vs CLE0Under
2026-05-07vs CLE0Under
2026-05-08vs DET0Under
2026-05-09vs DET0Under
2026-05-10vs DET0Under
2026-05-13vs CWS0Under
2026-05-14vs CWS1Over
2026-05-16vs STL0Under
2026-05-17vs STL0Under
2026-05-19vs BOS2Over
2026-05-20vs BOS0Under
2026-05-25vs NYY0Under
2026-05-26vs NYY2Over
2026-05-27vs NYY0Under
2026-05-30vs TEX0Under
2026-05-30vs TEX0Under
2026-05-31vs TEX1Over
2026-06-01vs CIN3Over
2026-06-02vs CIN0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Lane Thomas’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.