CF · KC
Lane Thomas — Home Runs
2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Lane Thomas (KC) has averaged 0.05 home runs per game across 44 games this season, and the last 10 have been hotter at 0.1. 5% of those games have finished over 0.5. We project 0.1, short of the 1.42 market line.
Next: @ MIN — their staff ranks 23 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (betonlineag), Lane Thomas went over in 2 of 44 2026 games.
Our projection 0.1 vs market line 1.42 — edge -1.32.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 2/44 | 5% |
Share of 2026 games Thomas finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs
| Date | Opp | Home Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-27 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-30 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-02 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-09 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-14 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-16 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-17 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-20 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-24 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs LAA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-30 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-30 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-04 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-01 | vs CIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-02 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Lane Thomas’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.