EdgeTake

CF · KC

Lane Thomas — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
44
Runs
9
Per Game
0.20
Projection
0.32
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 44 games this season, Lane Thomas (KC) is averaging 0.2 runs per game, with the last 10 steady at 0.2. The over on 0.5 has hit in 16% of games. Our projection of 0.32 comes in under the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: @ MIN — their staff ranks 23 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +104 DraftKingsUnder 0.5 -135 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Lane Thomas went over in 7 of 44 2026 games.

Our projection 0.32 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.18.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.57/4416%
1.52/445%

Share of 2026 games Thomas finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.20
Season avg
0.20

Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (21)
0.19
Away (23)
0.22
Home edge
-0.03

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-03-27vs ATL0Under
2026-03-28vs ATL0Under
2026-03-29vs ATL0Under
2026-03-30vs MIN0Under
2026-04-02vs MIN0Under
2026-04-04vs MIL1Over
2026-04-05vs MIL0Under
2026-04-08vs CLE1Over
2026-04-09vs CWS0Under
2026-04-11vs CWS0Under
2026-04-14vs DET0Under
2026-04-15vs DET0Under
2026-04-16vs DET1Over
2026-04-17vs NYY0Under
2026-04-18vs NYY0Under
2026-04-19vs NYY0Under
2026-04-20vs BAL1Over
2026-04-22vs BAL0Under
2026-04-24vs LAA0Under
2026-04-26vs LAA2Over
2026-04-29vs ATH0Under
2026-04-30vs ATH0Under
2026-04-30vs ATH0Under
2026-05-02vs SEA0Under
2026-05-04vs CLE0Under
2026-05-06vs CLE0Under
2026-05-07vs CLE0Under
2026-05-08vs DET0Under
2026-05-09vs DET0Under
2026-05-10vs DET0Under
2026-05-13vs CWS1Over
2026-05-14vs CWS0Under
2026-05-16vs STL0Under
2026-05-17vs STL0Under
2026-05-19vs BOS0Under
2026-05-20vs BOS0Under
2026-05-25vs NYY0Under
2026-05-26vs NYY0Under
2026-05-27vs NYY0Under
2026-05-30vs TEX0Under
2026-05-30vs TEX0Under
2026-05-31vs TEX0Under
2026-06-01vs CIN2Over
2026-06-02vs CIN0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Lane Thomas’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.