EdgeTake

RF · ATH

Lawrence Butler — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
49
Runs
16
Per Game
0.33
Projection
0.46
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Lawrence Butler (ATH) has averaged 0.33 runs per game across 49 games this season, while recent form sits lower at 0.1 over the last 10. The over on 0.5 has hit in 29% of games. We project 0.46, short of the 0.5 market line.

Next matchup

Next: @ CHC — their staff ranks 17 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +145 DraftKingsUnder 0.5 -203 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Lawrence Butler went over in 14 of 49 2026 games.

Our projection 0.46 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.04.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.514/4929%
1.52/494%

Share of 2026 games Butler finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.10
Season avg
0.33

Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (23)
0.43
Away (26)
0.23
Home edge
+0.20

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-03-27vs TOR0Under
2026-03-29vs TOR0Under
2026-03-30vs ATL0Under
2026-03-31vs ATL1Over
2026-04-01vs ATL0Under
2026-04-04vs HOU2Over
2026-04-04vs HOU0Under
2026-04-05vs HOU1Over
2026-04-07vs NYY0Under
2026-04-08vs NYY1Over
2026-04-09vs NYY0Under
2026-04-10vs NYM0Under
2026-04-11vs NYM0Under
2026-04-12vs NYM0Under
2026-04-14vs TEX1Over
2026-04-15vs TEX0Under
2026-04-16vs TEX1Over
2026-04-16vs TEX0Under
2026-04-18vs CWS0Under
2026-04-18vs CWS1Over
2026-04-19vs CWS0Under
2026-04-21vs SEA0Under
2026-04-22vs SEA0Under
2026-04-22vs SEA0Under
2026-04-25vs TEX0Under
2026-04-26vs TEX0Under
2026-04-29vs KC0Under
2026-04-30vs KC1Over
2026-04-30vs KC1Over
2026-05-02vs CLE0Under
2026-05-02vs CLE0Under
2026-05-03vs CLE0Under
2026-05-06vs PHI1Over
2026-05-07vs PHI2Over
2026-05-08vs BAL1Over
2026-05-09vs BAL0Under
2026-05-10vs BAL0Under
2026-05-13vs STL0Under
2026-05-16vs SF1Over
2026-05-17vs SF1Over
2026-05-17vs SF0Under
2026-05-19vs LAA0Under
2026-05-20vs LAA0Under
2026-05-21vs LAA0Under
2026-05-22vs LAA0Under
2026-05-23vs SD0Under
2026-05-27vs SEA0Under
2026-05-30vs NYY0Under
2026-05-31vs NYY0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Lawrence Butler’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.