EdgeTake

2B · TOR

Lenyn Sosa — Home Runs

2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
39
Home Runs
1
Per Game
0.03
Projection
0.11
Current Line
2.5
Outlook

Over 39 games this season, Lenyn Sosa (TOR) is averaging 0.03 home runs per game, while recent form sits lower at 0 over the last 10. The over on 2.5 has hit in 0% of games. Our model projects 0.11, below the market line of 1.25.

Next matchup

Next: @ ATL — their staff ranks 2 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +750 Caesars

At a line of 2.5 (betrivers), Lenyn Sosa went over in 0 of 39 2026 games.

Our projection 0.11 vs market line 1.25 — edge -1.14.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.51/393%

Share of 2026 games Sosa finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.00
Season avg
0.03

Over 2.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (15)
0.00
Away (24)
0.04
Home edge
-0.04

Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs

DateOppHome Runsvs Line
2026-03-26vs MIL0Under
2026-03-28vs MIL0Under
2026-03-30vs MIA0Under
2026-04-01vs MIA0Under
2026-04-04vs TOR0Under
2026-04-05vs TOR0Under
2026-04-06vs BAL0Under
2026-04-07vs BAL0Under
2026-04-10vs KC0Under
2026-04-11vs KC0Under
2026-04-12vs KC0Under
2026-04-14vs MIL0Under
2026-04-15vs MIL0Under
2026-04-16vs MIL0Under
2026-04-18vs AZ0Under
2026-04-21vs LAA0Under
2026-04-22vs LAA0Under
2026-04-22vs LAA0Under
2026-04-24vs CLE0Under
2026-04-26vs CLE0Under
2026-04-27vs BOS0Under
2026-05-02vs MIN0Under
2026-05-02vs MIN1Under
2026-05-03vs MIN0Under
2026-05-05vs TB0Under
2026-05-06vs TB0Under
2026-05-09vs LAA0Under
2026-05-10vs LAA0Under
2026-05-12vs TB0Under
2026-05-13vs TB0Under
2026-05-16vs DET0Under
2026-05-17vs DET0Under
2026-05-18vs NYY0Under
2026-05-19vs NYY0Under
2026-05-21vs NYY0Under
2026-05-23vs PIT0Under
2026-05-24vs PIT0Under
2026-05-25vs MIA0Under
2026-05-26vs MIA0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Lenyn Sosa’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.