EdgeTake

2B · TOR

Lenyn Sosa — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
39
Runs
11
Per Game
0.28
Projection
0.4
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 39 games this season, Lenyn Sosa (TOR) is averaging 0.28 runs per game, tracking close to that at 0.3 over the last 10. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 23% of games this season. Our model projects 0.4, below the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: @ ATL — their staff ranks 2 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +230 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -276 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Lenyn Sosa went over in 9 of 39 2026 games.

Our projection 0.4 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.1.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.59/3923%
1.52/395%

Share of 2026 games Sosa finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.30
Season avg
0.28

Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (15)
0.27
Away (24)
0.29
Home edge
-0.03

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-03-26vs MIL0Under
2026-03-28vs MIL0Under
2026-03-30vs MIA0Under
2026-04-01vs MIA0Under
2026-04-04vs TOR1Over
2026-04-05vs TOR0Under
2026-04-06vs BAL0Under
2026-04-07vs BAL0Under
2026-04-10vs KC0Under
2026-04-11vs KC0Under
2026-04-12vs KC1Over
2026-04-14vs MIL1Over
2026-04-15vs MIL0Under
2026-04-16vs MIL0Under
2026-04-18vs AZ0Under
2026-04-21vs LAA0Under
2026-04-22vs LAA0Under
2026-04-22vs LAA0Under
2026-04-24vs CLE1Over
2026-04-26vs CLE0Under
2026-04-27vs BOS0Under
2026-05-02vs MIN2Over
2026-05-02vs MIN2Over
2026-05-03vs MIN0Under
2026-05-05vs TB0Under
2026-05-06vs TB0Under
2026-05-09vs LAA0Under
2026-05-10vs LAA0Under
2026-05-12vs TB0Under
2026-05-13vs TB0Under
2026-05-16vs DET0Under
2026-05-17vs DET0Under
2026-05-18vs NYY1Over
2026-05-19vs NYY0Under
2026-05-21vs NYY0Under
2026-05-23vs PIT0Under
2026-05-24vs PIT0Under
2026-05-25vs MIA1Over
2026-05-26vs MIA1Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Lenyn Sosa’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.