LF · AZ
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (AZ) sits at 0.28 runs per game through 25 games, and the last 10 hold near that at 0.3. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 28% of games this season. Our projection of 0.3 comes in under the market line of 0.5.
Next: vs LAD — their staff ranks 1 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Lourdes Gurriel Jr. went over in 7 of 25 2026 games.
Our projection 0.3 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.2.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 7/25 | 28% |
| 1.5 | 0/25 | 0% |
Share of 2026 games Jr. finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs TOR | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-30 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-07 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.