LF · AZ
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. — Total Bases
2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 25 games this season, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (AZ) is averaging 1.12 total bases per game, trending up to 1.4 across the last 10. That 1.5 line has been cleared in 36% of games this season. Our projection of 1.06 comes in under the market line of 1.65.
Next: vs LAD — their staff ranks 1 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
Under 1.5 -165 at BetMGM — model 66% to hit, +5.4% EV.
At a line of 1.5 (betmgm), Lourdes Gurriel Jr. went over in 9 of 25 2026 games.
Our projection 1.06 vs market line 1.65 — edge -0.59.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 14/25 | 56% |
| 1.5 | 9/25 | 36% |
| 2.5 | 3/25 | 12% |
| 3.5 | 1/25 | 4% |
Share of 2026 games Jr. finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 1.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases
| Date | Opp | Total Bases | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs TOR | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs SD | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-28 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs MIL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-30 | vs MIL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-02 | vs CHC | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs CHC | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs PIT | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs PIT | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs TEX | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs COL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs COL | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs COL | 5 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs SF | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs COL | 1 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.