EdgeTake

2B · SF

Luis Arraez — Stolen Bases

2026 stolen bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
58
Stolen Bases
5
Per Game
0.09
Projection
0.06
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Luis Arraez (SF) sits at 0.09 stolen bases per game through 58 games, with recent form ahead of that at 0.1 over the last 10. The over on 0.5 has hit in 9% of games. Our model projects 0.06, below the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: @ MIL — their staff ranks 3 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +880 FanDuel

At a line of 0.5 (fanduel), Luis Arraez went over in 5 of 58 2026 games.

Our projection 0.06 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.44.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.55/589%

Share of 2026 games Arraez finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.10
Season avg
0.09

Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (26)
0.15
Away (32)
0.03
Home edge
+0.12

Per-game stolen bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Stolen Bases

DateOppStolen Basesvs Line
2026-03-26vs NYY0Under
2026-03-27vs NYY0Under
2026-03-28vs NYY1Over
2026-03-31vs SD0Under
2026-04-01vs SD0Under
2026-04-01vs SD1Over
2026-04-03vs NYM0Under
2026-04-04vs NYM0Under
2026-04-05vs NYM0Under
2026-04-05vs NYM0Under
2026-04-07vs PHI0Under
2026-04-08vs PHI0Under
2026-04-08vs PHI0Under
2026-04-10vs BAL0Under
2026-04-11vs BAL0Under
2026-04-14vs CIN0Under
2026-04-15vs CIN0Under
2026-04-16vs CIN0Under
2026-04-17vs WSH0Under
2026-04-18vs WSH0Under
2026-04-19vs WSH0Under
2026-04-22vs LAD0Under
2026-04-23vs LAD0Under
2026-04-23vs LAD1Over
2026-04-25vs MIA1Over
2026-04-25vs MIA0Under
2026-04-26vs MIA0Under
2026-04-28vs PHI0Under
2026-04-29vs PHI0Under
2026-04-30vs PHI0Under
2026-05-01vs TB0Under
2026-05-02vs TB0Under
2026-05-03vs TB0Under
2026-05-05vs SD0Under
2026-05-09vs PIT0Under
2026-05-10vs PIT0Under
2026-05-10vs PIT0Under
2026-05-12vs LAD0Under
2026-05-13vs LAD0Under
2026-05-14vs LAD0Under
2026-05-15vs LAD0Under
2026-05-16vs ATH0Under
2026-05-17vs ATH0Under
2026-05-17vs ATH0Under
2026-05-19vs AZ0Under
2026-05-20vs AZ0Under
2026-05-20vs AZ0Under
2026-05-23vs CWS0Under
2026-05-23vs CWS0Under
2026-05-24vs CWS0Under
2026-05-25vs AZ0Under
2026-05-27vs AZ0Under
2026-05-27vs AZ1Over
2026-05-30vs COL0Under
2026-05-31vs COL0Under
2026-05-31vs COL0Under
2026-06-01vs MIL0Under
2026-06-02vs MIL0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Luis Arraez’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.