2B · SF
Luis Arraez — Total Bases
2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 58 games this season, Luis Arraez (SF) is averaging 1.69 total bases per game, tracking close to that at 1.8 over the last 10. The over on 1.5 has hit in 45% of games. We project 1.46, short of the 1.55 market line.
Next: @ MIL — their staff ranks 3 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
Under 1.5 -179 at Caesars — model 62% to hit, -2.7% EV.
At a line of 1.5 (williamhill_us), Luis Arraez went over in 26 of 58 2026 games.
Our projection 1.46 vs market line 1.55 — edge -0.09.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 43/58 | 74% |
| 1.5 | 26/58 | 45% |
| 2.5 | 13/58 | 22% |
| 3.5 | 9/58 | 16% |
Share of 2026 games Arraez finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 1.5 in 5 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases
| Date | Opp | Total Bases | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs NYY | 1 | Under |
| 2026-03-27 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs NYY | 2 | Over |
| 2026-03-31 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs SD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs SD | 4 | Over |
| 2026-04-03 | vs NYM | 4 | Over |
| 2026-04-04 | vs NYM | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs NYM | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs PHI | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-08 | vs PHI | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs PHI | 4 | Over |
| 2026-04-10 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs BAL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-14 | vs CIN | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-15 | vs CIN | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-16 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-17 | vs WSH | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs WSH | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-19 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs LAD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs LAD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs LAD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs MIA | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs MIA | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs PHI | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs PHI | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-30 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-01 | vs TB | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-02 | vs TB | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs SD | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-09 | vs PIT | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs PIT | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs PIT | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs LAD | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-13 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs LAD | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-15 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs ATH | 8 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs ATH | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs ATH | 6 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs AZ | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs AZ | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs CWS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-23 | vs CWS | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-24 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs AZ | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs AZ | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs COL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs COL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-06-01 | vs MIL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs MIL | 5 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Luis Arraez’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.