EdgeTake

3B · MIL

Luis Rengifo — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
48
Runs
15
Per Game
0.31
Projection
0.42
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Luis Rengifo (MIL) sits at 0.31 runs per game through 48 games, and the last 10 hold near that at 0.3. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 27% of games this season. Our model projects 0.42, below the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: vs SF — their staff ranks 24 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +133 DraftKingsUnder 0.5 -185 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Luis Rengifo went over in 13 of 48 2026 games.

Our projection 0.42 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.08.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.513/4827%
1.51/482%

Share of 2026 games Rengifo finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.30
Season avg
0.31

Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (27)
0.30
Away (21)
0.33
Home edge
-0.04

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-03-26vs CWS0Under
2026-03-29vs CWS1Over
2026-03-30vs TB0Under
2026-03-31vs TB0Under
2026-04-04vs KC1Over
2026-04-05vs KC1Over
2026-04-06vs BOS1Over
2026-04-07vs BOS0Under
2026-04-08vs BOS0Under
2026-04-10vs WSH0Under
2026-04-11vs WSH0Under
2026-04-12vs WSH0Under
2026-04-14vs TOR0Under
2026-04-16vs TOR0Under
2026-04-17vs MIA1Over
2026-04-18vs MIA1Over
2026-04-19vs MIA0Under
2026-04-21vs DET1Over
2026-04-22vs DET1Over
2026-04-23vs DET0Under
2026-04-24vs PIT0Under
2026-04-25vs PIT0Under
2026-04-26vs PIT1Over
2026-04-28vs AZ0Under
2026-04-29vs AZ0Under
2026-04-30vs AZ0Under
2026-05-01vs WSH0Under
2026-05-02vs WSH0Under
2026-05-03vs WSH0Under
2026-05-04vs STL0Under
2026-05-08vs NYY1Over
2026-05-09vs NYY1Over
2026-05-10vs NYY1Over
2026-05-13vs SD0Under
2026-05-14vs SD0Under
2026-05-15vs MIN0Under
2026-05-16vs MIN0Under
2026-05-17vs MIN0Under
2026-05-18vs CHC0Under
2026-05-19vs CHC0Under
2026-05-22vs LAD0Under
2026-05-24vs LAD0Under
2026-05-25vs STL0Under
2026-05-26vs STL0Under
2026-05-27vs STL0Under
2026-05-30vs HOU0Under
2026-06-01vs SF3Over
2026-06-02vs SF0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Luis Rengifo’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.