2B · MIN
Luke Keaschall — Home Runs
2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Luke Keaschall (MIN) sits at 0.02 home runs per game through 57 games, while recent form sits lower at 0 over the last 10. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 2% of games this season. Our model projects 0.07, below the market line of 1.02.
Next: vs KC — their staff ranks 21 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Luke Keaschall went over in 1 of 57 2026 games.
Our projection 0.07 vs market line 1.02 — edge -0.95.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1/57 | 2% |
Share of 2026 games Keaschall finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs
| Date | Opp | Home Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-30 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-02 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-06 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-07 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-09 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-13 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-14 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-21 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-27 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-30 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-15 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-01 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Luke Keaschall’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.