2B · MIN
Luke Keaschall — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Luke Keaschall (MIN) has averaged 0.47 runs per game across 57 games this season, trending up to 0.6 across the last 10. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 39% of games this season. Our model projects 0.49, roughly in line with the 0.5 market line.
Next: vs KC — their staff ranks 21 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Luke Keaschall went over in 22 of 57 2026 games.
Our projection 0.49 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.01.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 22/57 | 39% |
| 1.5 | 5/57 | 9% |
Share of 2026 games Keaschall finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 5 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-30 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-02 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs TB | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-04 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-06 | vs DET | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-07 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-08 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-09 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs TOR | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs TOR | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-12 | vs TOR | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-13 | vs BOS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-14 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-21 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-27 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-30 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs TOR | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs TOR | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-05 | vs WSH | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-07 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-08 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs MIA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-15 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-18 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-25 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs PIT | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-01 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-02 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Luke Keaschall’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.