EdgeTake

2B · MIN

Luke Keaschall — Stolen Bases

2026 stolen bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
57
Stolen Bases
10
Per Game
0.18
Projection
0.17
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 57 games this season, Luke Keaschall (MIN) is averaging 0.18 stolen bases per game, though the last 10 have cooled to 0. 18% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our model projects 0.17, below the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: vs KC — their staff ranks 21 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +470 FanDuelUnder 0.5 -900 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (fanduel), Luke Keaschall went over in 10 of 57 2026 games.

Our projection 0.17 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.33.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.510/5718%

Share of 2026 games Keaschall finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.00
Season avg
0.18

Over 0.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (30)
0.20
Away (27)
0.15
Home edge
+0.05

Per-game stolen bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Stolen Bases

DateOppStolen Basesvs Line
2026-03-26vs BAL0Under
2026-03-28vs BAL0Under
2026-03-29vs BAL0Under
2026-03-30vs KC0Under
2026-04-01vs KC0Under
2026-04-02vs KC0Under
2026-04-03vs TB1Over
2026-04-04vs TB0Under
2026-04-05vs TB0Under
2026-04-06vs DET0Under
2026-04-07vs DET0Under
2026-04-08vs DET1Over
2026-04-09vs DET0Under
2026-04-10vs TOR0Under
2026-04-11vs TOR0Under
2026-04-12vs TOR1Over
2026-04-13vs BOS0Under
2026-04-14vs BOS0Under
2026-04-15vs BOS0Under
2026-04-18vs CIN0Under
2026-04-18vs CIN1Over
2026-04-19vs CIN0Under
2026-04-21vs NYM1Over
2026-04-22vs NYM0Under
2026-04-23vs NYM0Under
2026-04-25vs TB1Over
2026-04-26vs TB0Under
2026-04-27vs SEA0Under
2026-04-28vs SEA1Over
2026-04-29vs SEA0Under
2026-04-30vs TOR0Under
2026-05-02vs TOR0Under
2026-05-02vs TOR0Under
2026-05-03vs TOR0Under
2026-05-05vs WSH1Over
2026-05-06vs WSH0Under
2026-05-07vs WSH0Under
2026-05-08vs CLE0Under
2026-05-09vs CLE0Under
2026-05-10vs CLE0Under
2026-05-12vs MIA1Over
2026-05-13vs MIA0Under
2026-05-14vs MIA1Over
2026-05-15vs MIL0Under
2026-05-17vs MIL0Under
2026-05-18vs HOU0Under
2026-05-19vs HOU0Under
2026-05-20vs HOU0Under
2026-05-22vs BOS0Under
2026-05-25vs CWS0Under
2026-05-26vs CWS0Under
2026-05-27vs CWS0Under
2026-05-29vs PIT0Under
2026-05-30vs PIT0Under
2026-05-31vs PIT0Under
2026-06-01vs CWS0Under
2026-06-02vs CWS0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Luke Keaschall’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.