2B · MIN
Luke Keaschall — Total Bases
2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Luke Keaschall (MIN) has averaged 1.16 total bases per game across 57 games this season, trending up to 1.4 across the last 10. They've gone over 0.5 in 68% of those games. Our projection of 1.31 sits above the market line of 0.88.
Next: vs KC — their staff ranks 21 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
Over 0.5 -170 at Caesars — model 60% to hit, -5.0% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (fanatics), Luke Keaschall went over in 39 of 57 2026 games.
Our projection 1.31 vs market line 0.88 — edge +0.43.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 39/57 | 68% |
| 1.5 | 18/57 | 32% |
| 2.5 | 6/57 | 11% |
| 3.5 | 3/57 | 5% |
Share of 2026 games Keaschall finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 8 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases
| Date | Opp | Total Bases | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-28 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-30 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs KC | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-02 | vs KC | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-03 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-04 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-05 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-06 | vs DET | 4 | Over |
| 2026-04-07 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-08 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-09 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs TOR | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs TOR | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-13 | vs BOS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-14 | vs BOS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-15 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs CIN | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-19 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-21 | vs NYM | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-27 | vs SEA | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-28 | vs SEA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs SEA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-30 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs TOR | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs TOR | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-05 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs WSH | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-07 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-08 | vs CLE | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-09 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs MIA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-13 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs MIA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-15 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs MIL | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-18 | vs HOU | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs BOS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-25 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-26 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs CWS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-29 | vs PIT | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs PIT | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-01 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs CWS | 2 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Luke Keaschall’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.