RF · SEA
Luke Raley — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Luke Raley (SEA) sits at 0.4 runs per game through 55 games, with the last 10 dipping to 0.3. The over on 0.5 has hit in 31% of games. Our model projects 0.49, roughly in line with the 0.5 market line.
Next: @ DET — their staff ranks 12 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Luke Raley went over in 17 of 55 2026 games.
Our projection 0.49 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.01.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 17/55 | 31% |
| 1.5 | 4/55 | 7% |
Share of 2026 games Raley finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-27 | vs CLE | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-28 | vs CLE | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-29 | vs CLE | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-29 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs LAA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-05 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs HOU | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-12 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs HOU | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-13 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-16 | vs SD | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-17 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs TEX | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-19 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-21 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs ATL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs CWS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-10 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs HOU | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-13 | vs HOU | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-14 | vs HOU | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-14 | vs HOU | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs ATH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs AZ | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs AZ | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-03 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Luke Raley’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.