3B · KC
Maikel Garcia — Hits
2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Maikel Garcia (KC) sits at 1.07 hits per game through 56 games, trending up to 1.2 across the last 10. 71% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our model projects 1.03, a step above the market line of 0.85.
Next: @ MIN — their staff ranks 23 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
Under 0.5 +175 at Fanatics — model 35% to hit, -2.4% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (fanatics), Maikel Garcia went over in 40 of 56 2026 games.
Our projection 1.03 vs market line 0.85 — edge +0.18.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 40/56 | 71% |
| 1.5 | 16/56 | 29% |
| 2.5 | 4/56 | 7% |
Share of 2026 games Garcia finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 8 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Hits
| Date | Opp | Hits | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-27 | vs ATL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-28 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs ATL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-30 | vs MIN | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-01 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-02 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-03 | vs MIL | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-04 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs MIL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-06 | vs CLE | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-07 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs CLE | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-09 | vs CWS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-10 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs CWS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-12 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-14 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-15 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-16 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-17 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-19 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-20 | vs BAL | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-21 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs ATH | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-30 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-30 | vs ATH | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-02 | vs SEA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs SEA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs SEA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-04 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs CLE | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-07 | vs CLE | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-08 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-09 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-10 | vs DET | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-12 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-13 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-18 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs SEA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-23 | vs SEA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-24 | vs SEA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-25 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-26 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs NYY | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs TEX | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs TEX | 1 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Maikel Garcia’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.