EdgeTake

3B · KC

Maikel Garcia — Stolen Bases

2026 stolen bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
56
Stolen Bases
4
Per Game
0.07
Projection
0.1
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Maikel Garcia (KC) has averaged 0.07 stolen bases per game across 56 games this season, though the last 10 have cooled to 0. They've gone over 0.5 in 7% of those games. We project 0.1, short of the 0.5 market line.

Next matchup

Next: @ MIN — their staff ranks 23 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Under 0.5 -450 at BetMGM — model 86% to hit, +4.6% EV.

Over 0.5 +410 FanDuelUnder 0.5 -450 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (fanduel), Maikel Garcia went over in 4 of 56 2026 games.

Our projection 0.1 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.4.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.54/567%

Share of 2026 games Garcia finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.00
Season avg
0.07

Over 0.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (30)
0.03
Away (26)
0.12
Home edge
-0.08

Per-game stolen bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Stolen Bases

DateOppStolen Basesvs Line
2026-03-27vs ATL1Over
2026-03-28vs ATL0Under
2026-03-29vs ATL0Under
2026-03-30vs MIN0Under
2026-04-01vs MIN0Under
2026-04-02vs MIN0Under
2026-04-03vs MIL0Under
2026-04-04vs MIL0Under
2026-04-05vs MIL0Under
2026-04-06vs CLE0Under
2026-04-07vs CLE0Under
2026-04-08vs CLE0Under
2026-04-09vs CWS0Under
2026-04-10vs CWS0Under
2026-04-11vs CWS0Under
2026-04-12vs CWS0Under
2026-04-14vs DET0Under
2026-04-15vs DET0Under
2026-04-16vs DET0Under
2026-04-17vs NYY0Under
2026-04-18vs NYY0Under
2026-04-19vs NYY0Under
2026-04-20vs BAL0Under
2026-04-21vs BAL1Over
2026-04-22vs BAL0Under
2026-04-26vs LAA0Under
2026-04-29vs ATH0Under
2026-04-30vs ATH0Under
2026-04-30vs ATH1Over
2026-05-02vs SEA0Under
2026-05-03vs SEA0Under
2026-05-03vs SEA1Over
2026-05-04vs CLE0Under
2026-05-05vs CLE0Under
2026-05-06vs CLE0Under
2026-05-07vs CLE0Under
2026-05-08vs DET0Under
2026-05-09vs DET0Under
2026-05-10vs DET0Under
2026-05-12vs CWS0Under
2026-05-13vs CWS0Under
2026-05-14vs CWS0Under
2026-05-16vs STL0Under
2026-05-16vs STL0Under
2026-05-17vs STL0Under
2026-05-18vs BOS0Under
2026-05-19vs BOS0Under
2026-05-20vs BOS0Under
2026-05-22vs SEA0Under
2026-05-23vs SEA0Under
2026-05-24vs SEA0Under
2026-05-25vs NYY0Under
2026-05-26vs NYY0Under
2026-05-27vs NYY0Under
2026-05-30vs TEX0Under
2026-05-30vs TEX0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Maikel Garcia’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.