3B · SD
Manny Machado — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Manny Machado (SD) sits at 0.49 runs per game through 57 games, while recent form sits lower at 0.3 over the last 10. They've gone over 0.5 in 40% of those games. We project 0.6, ahead of the 0.5 market line.
Next: @ PHI — their staff ranks 16 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Manny Machado went over in 23 of 57 2026 games.
Our projection 0.6 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.1.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 23/57 | 40% |
| 1.5 | 4/57 | 7% |
Share of 2026 games Machado finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-29 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-01 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-03 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs BOS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-06 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-07 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-12 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-12 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-16 | vs SEA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-17 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs COL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs AZ | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs AZ | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-28 | vs CHC | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-05 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-08 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-09 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-10 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs SEA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs SEA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs LAD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-21 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs ATH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-24 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs PHI | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Manny Machado’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.