3B · SD
Manny Machado — Total Bases
2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 57 games this season, Manny Machado (SD) is averaging 1.25 total bases per game, and the last 10 have been hotter at 1.5. The over on 0.5 has hit in 47% of games. We project 1.69, ahead of the 1.39 market line.
Next: @ PHI — their staff ranks 16 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
Over 1.5 +145 at BetRivers — model 40% to hit, -2.3% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Manny Machado went over in 27 of 57 2026 games.
Our projection 1.69 vs market line 1.39 — edge +0.3.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 27/57 | 47% |
| 1.5 | 15/57 | 26% |
| 2.5 | 10/57 | 18% |
| 3.5 | 10/57 | 18% |
Share of 2026 games Machado finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases
| Date | Opp | Total Bases | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-28 | vs DET | 2 | Over |
| 2026-03-29 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-01 | vs SF | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-03 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs BOS | 5 | Over |
| 2026-04-06 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-07 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs COL | 4 | Over |
| 2026-04-12 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-15 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-16 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-17 | vs SEA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs LAA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-19 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-23 | vs COL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs AZ | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs AZ | 8 | Over |
| 2026-04-28 | vs CHC | 5 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs CWS | 5 | Over |
| 2026-05-05 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs STL | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-10 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-13 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs SEA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs LAD | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-21 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs ATH | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-24 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs PHI | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs WSH | 6 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Manny Machado’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.