DH · PIT
Marcell Ozuna — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Marcell Ozuna (PIT) sits at 0.31 runs per game through 45 games, though the last 10 have cooled to 0.2. The over on 0.5 has hit in 27% of games. We project 0.31, short of the 0.5 market line.
Next: @ HOU — their staff ranks 29 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Marcell Ozuna went over in 12 of 45 2026 games.
Our projection 0.31 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.19.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 12/45 | 27% |
| 1.5 | 1/45 | 2% |
Share of 2026 games Ozuna finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 2 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-30 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs CIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-03 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-06 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-12 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-14 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-16 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-17 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-19 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-24 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-24 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-27 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-01 | vs CIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-02 | vs CIN | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-10 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-12 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-15 | vs PHI | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-21 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Marcell Ozuna’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.