EdgeTake

2B · BOS

Marcelo Mayer — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
52
Hits
35
Per Game
0.67
Projection
0.83
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 52 games this season, Marcelo Mayer (BOS) is averaging 0.67 hits per game, with the last 10 dipping to 0.6. They've gone over 0.5 in 54% of those games. Our model projects 0.83, a step above the market line of 0.7.

Next matchup

Next: vs BAL — their staff ranks 25 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 -167 BetRivers

At a line of 0.5 (betrivers), Marcelo Mayer went over in 28 of 52 2026 games.

Our projection 0.83 vs market line 0.7 — edge +0.13.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.528/5254%
1.57/5213%
2.50/520%

Share of 2026 games Mayer finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.60
Season avg
0.67

Over 0.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (26)
0.46
Away (26)
0.88
Home edge
-0.42

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-03-26vs CIN2Over
2026-03-28vs CIN1Over
2026-03-29vs CIN0Under
2026-03-31vs HOU0Under
2026-04-01vs HOU0Under
2026-04-01vs HOU0Under
2026-04-03vs SD2Over
2026-04-04vs SD0Under
2026-04-05vs SD0Under
2026-04-06vs MIL0Under
2026-04-07vs MIL0Under
2026-04-11vs STL1Over
2026-04-11vs STL1Over
2026-04-12vs STL1Over
2026-04-13vs MIN0Under
2026-04-15vs MIN1Over
2026-04-17vs DET0Under
2026-04-19vs DET0Under
2026-04-20vs DET1Over
2026-04-21vs NYY1Over
2026-04-23vs NYY1Over
2026-04-24vs BAL2Over
2026-04-26vs BAL1Over
2026-04-27vs TOR2Over
2026-04-28vs TOR1Over
2026-04-29vs TOR1Over
2026-05-01vs HOU1Over
2026-05-02vs HOU0Under
2026-05-03vs HOU1Over
2026-05-04vs DET2Over
2026-05-06vs DET1Over
2026-05-07vs TB0Under
2026-05-08vs TB0Under
2026-05-10vs TB0Under
2026-05-12vs PHI1Over
2026-05-13vs PHI1Over
2026-05-14vs PHI0Under
2026-05-15vs ATL1Over
2026-05-16vs ATL0Under
2026-05-17vs ATL0Under
2026-05-18vs KC1Over
2026-05-20vs KC1Over
2026-05-22vs MIN0Under
2026-05-23vs MIN0Under
2026-05-24vs MIN1Over
2026-05-26vs ATL0Under
2026-05-27vs ATL2Over
2026-05-28vs ATL0Under
2026-05-29vs CLE2Over
2026-05-30vs CLE0Under
2026-05-31vs CLE1Over
2026-06-02vs BAL0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Marcelo Mayer’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.