EdgeTake

DH · BOS

Masataka Yoshida — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
42
Runs
13
Per Game
0.31
Projection
0.45
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 42 games this season, Masataka Yoshida (BOS) is averaging 0.31 runs per game, with recent form ahead of that at 0.5 over the last 10. They've gone over 0.5 in 26% of those games. Our projection of 0.45 comes in under the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: vs BAL — their staff ranks 25 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +130 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -175 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Masataka Yoshida went over in 11 of 42 2026 games.

Our projection 0.45 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.05.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.511/4226%
1.52/425%

Share of 2026 games Yoshida finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.50
Season avg
0.31

Over 0.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (22)
0.32
Away (20)
0.30
Home edge
+0.02

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-03-28vs CIN0Under
2026-03-29vs CIN0Under
2026-03-31vs HOU0Under
2026-04-01vs HOU0Under
2026-04-01vs HOU0Under
2026-04-04vs SD0Under
2026-04-05vs SD0Under
2026-04-06vs MIL1Over
2026-04-11vs STL1Over
2026-04-14vs MIN0Under
2026-04-15vs MIN1Over
2026-04-17vs DET0Under
2026-04-19vs DET0Under
2026-04-20vs DET2Over
2026-04-21vs NYY0Under
2026-04-23vs NYY0Under
2026-04-24vs BAL0Under
2026-04-28vs TOR0Under
2026-05-02vs HOU0Under
2026-05-03vs HOU0Under
2026-05-04vs DET1Over
2026-05-06vs DET1Over
2026-05-07vs TB1Over
2026-05-08vs TB0Under
2026-05-10vs TB0Under
2026-05-12vs PHI0Under
2026-05-13vs PHI0Under
2026-05-14vs PHI0Under
2026-05-15vs ATL0Under
2026-05-16vs ATL0Under
2026-05-18vs KC0Under
2026-05-19vs KC0Under
2026-05-20vs KC0Under
2026-05-22vs MIN0Under
2026-05-23vs MIN0Under
2026-05-24vs MIN2Over
2026-05-26vs ATL0Under
2026-05-27vs ATL1Over
2026-05-29vs CLE0Under
2026-05-30vs CLE1Over
2026-05-31vs CLE1Over
2026-06-02vs BAL0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Masataka Yoshida’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.