EdgeTake

2B · CIN

Matt McLain — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
55
Hits
39
Per Game
0.71
Projection
0.59
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Matt McLain (CIN) sits at 0.71 hits per game through 55 games, with the last 10 dipping to 0.3. The over on 0.5 has hit in 47% of games. Our projection of 0.59 sits above the market line of 0.56.

Next matchup

Next: @ STL — their staff ranks 18 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 -150 BetRivers

At a line of 0.5 (betrivers), Matt McLain went over in 26 of 55 2026 games.

Our projection 0.59 vs market line 0.56 — edge +0.03.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.526/5547%
1.512/5522%
2.51/552%

Share of 2026 games McLain finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.30
Season avg
0.71

Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (29)
0.59
Away (26)
0.85
Home edge
-0.26

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-03-26vs BOS0Under
2026-03-28vs BOS3Over
2026-03-29vs BOS1Over
2026-03-30vs PIT0Under
2026-03-31vs PIT0Under
2026-04-01vs PIT0Under
2026-04-03vs TEX2Over
2026-04-04vs TEX2Over
2026-04-05vs TEX0Under
2026-04-06vs MIA0Under
2026-04-07vs MIA2Over
2026-04-08vs MIA0Under
2026-04-09vs MIA2Over
2026-04-10vs LAA0Under
2026-04-11vs LAA0Under
2026-04-12vs LAA1Over
2026-04-14vs SF0Under
2026-04-15vs SF0Under
2026-04-16vs SF0Under
2026-04-18vs MIN0Under
2026-04-19vs MIN1Over
2026-04-20vs TB2Over
2026-04-21vs TB2Over
2026-04-22vs TB1Over
2026-04-24vs DET2Over
2026-04-25vs DET0Under
2026-04-26vs DET1Over
2026-04-28vs COL0Under
2026-04-29vs COL2Over
2026-04-30vs COL0Under
2026-05-01vs PIT0Under
2026-05-02vs PIT0Under
2026-05-03vs PIT0Under
2026-05-05vs CHC0Under
2026-05-06vs CHC2Over
2026-05-07vs CHC1Over
2026-05-08vs HOU1Over
2026-05-09vs HOU1Over
2026-05-10vs HOU0Under
2026-05-12vs WSH1Over
2026-05-13vs WSH1Over
2026-05-14vs WSH2Over
2026-05-15vs CLE2Over
2026-05-16vs CLE0Under
2026-05-17vs CLE1Over
2026-05-18vs PHI1Over
2026-05-19vs PHI0Under
2026-05-20vs PHI0Under
2026-05-23vs STL0Under
2026-05-25vs NYM0Under
2026-05-26vs NYM1Over
2026-05-30vs ATL0Under
2026-05-31vs ATL0Under
2026-06-01vs KC1Over
2026-06-02vs KC0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Matt McLain’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.