2B · CIN
Matt McLain — Home Runs
2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Matt McLain (CIN) has averaged 0.09 home runs per game across 55 games this season, while recent form sits lower at 0 over the last 10. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 7% of games this season. We project 0.09, short of the 1.2 market line.
Next: @ STL — their staff ranks 18 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Matt McLain went over in 4 of 55 2026 games.
Our projection 0.09 vs market line 1.2 — edge -1.11.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 4/55 | 7% |
Share of 2026 games McLain finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs
| Date | Opp | Home Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-30 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-06 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-09 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-14 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-16 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-20 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-21 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-24 | vs DET | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-30 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-01 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-07 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-15 | vs CLE | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-01 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Matt McLain’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.