2B · CIN
Matt McLain — Total Bases
2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Matt McLain (CIN) has averaged 1.16 total bases per game across 55 games this season, with the last 10 dipping to 0.4. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 47% of games this season. Our projection of 1.05 comes in under the market line of 1.13.
Next: @ STL — their staff ranks 18 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
Under 0.5 +119 at Caesars — model 44% to hit, -2.9% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Matt McLain went over in 26 of 55 2026 games.
Our projection 1.05 vs market line 1.13 — edge -0.08.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 26/55 | 47% |
| 1.5 | 16/55 | 29% |
| 2.5 | 8/55 | 15% |
| 3.5 | 6/55 | 11% |
Share of 2026 games McLain finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases
| Date | Opp | Total Bases | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs BOS | 4 | Over |
| 2026-03-29 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-30 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs TEX | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-04 | vs TEX | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-05 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-06 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs MIA | 4 | Over |
| 2026-04-08 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-09 | vs MIA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-10 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs LAA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-14 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-16 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-20 | vs TB | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-21 | vs TB | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-24 | vs DET | 8 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs DET | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-28 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs COL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-30 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-01 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs CHC | 5 | Over |
| 2026-05-07 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-08 | vs HOU | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-09 | vs HOU | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-10 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-13 | vs WSH | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-14 | vs WSH | 6 | Over |
| 2026-05-15 | vs CLE | 5 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs CLE | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-18 | vs PHI | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs NYM | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-01 | vs KC | 2 | Over |
| 2026-06-02 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Matt McLain’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.