1B · ATL
Matt Olson — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 61 games this season, Matt Olson (ATL) is averaging 0.7 runs per game, while recent form sits lower at 0.6 over the last 10. They've gone over 0.5 in 51% of those games. Our projection of 0.59 sits above the market line of 0.5.
Next: vs TOR — their staff ranks 10 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Matt Olson went over in 31 of 61 2026 games.
Our projection 0.59 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.09.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 31/61 | 51% |
| 1.5 | 11/61 | 18% |
Share of 2026 games Olson finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-27 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-28 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-30 | vs ATH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-31 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs AZ | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-04 | vs AZ | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-04 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs LAA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-08 | vs LAA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-10 | vs CLE | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs CLE | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-13 | vs MIA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-14 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs MIA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-17 | vs PHI | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs PHI | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-19 | vs PHI | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-20 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-21 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-23 | vs WSH | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-24 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs PHI | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs PHI | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-28 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-30 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs COL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs COL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-05 | vs SEA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs SEA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs LAD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-12 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-15 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs MIA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-21 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-28 | vs BOS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-29 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs CIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs TOR | 2 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Matt Olson’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.