CF · DET
Matt Vierling — Total Bases
2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 46 games this season, Matt Vierling (DET) is averaging 1.26 total bases per game, and the last 10 hold near that at 1.2. They've gone over 1.5 in 35% of those games. Our model projects 1.13, roughly in line with the 1.16 market line.
Next: vs SEA — their staff ranks 5 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
Under 1.5 -178 at DraftKings — model 66% to hit, +3.6% EV.
At a line of 1.5 (williamhill_us), Matt Vierling went over in 16 of 46 2026 games.
Our projection 1.13 vs market line 1.16 — edge -0.03.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 25/46 | 54% |
| 1.5 | 16/46 | 35% |
| 2.5 | 8/46 | 17% |
| 3.5 | 6/46 | 13% |
Share of 2026 games Vierling finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 1.5 in 2 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases
| Date | Opp | Total Bases | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs AZ | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs STL | 4 | Over |
| 2026-04-05 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-06 | vs MIN | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-08 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-14 | vs KC | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-16 | vs KC | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-17 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs BOS | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-20 | vs BOS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-21 | vs MIL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-23 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-24 | vs CIN | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-30 | vs ATL | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-01 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs TEX | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-04 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs BOS | 5 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs BOS | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs KC | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-09 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs KC | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-12 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-15 | vs TOR | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs TOR | 5 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs CLE | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs CLE | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-21 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs BAL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs BAL | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-26 | vs LAA | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-28 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs CWS | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs CWS | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs TB | 5 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Matt Vierling’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.