EdgeTake

3B · ATH

Max Muncy — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
26
Runs
15
Per Game
0.58
Projection
0.43
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Max Muncy (ATH) sits at 0.58 runs per game through 26 games, though the last 10 have cooled to 0.3. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 46% of games this season. Our model projects 0.43, below the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: @ CHC — their staff ranks 17 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +100 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -135 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Max Muncy went over in 12 of 26 2026 games.

Our projection 0.43 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.07.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.512/2646%
1.53/2612%

Share of 2026 games Muncy finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.30
Season avg
0.58

Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (9)
0.78
Away (17)
0.47
Home edge
+0.31

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-03-27vs TOR0Under
2026-03-28vs TOR1Over
2026-03-29vs TOR1Over
2026-03-30vs ATL0Under
2026-03-31vs ATL2Over
2026-04-01vs ATL0Under
2026-04-04vs HOU2Over
2026-04-04vs HOU0Under
2026-04-05vs HOU2Over
2026-04-07vs NYY1Over
2026-04-08vs NYY1Over
2026-04-09vs NYY1Over
2026-04-10vs NYM1Over
2026-04-11vs NYM0Under
2026-04-12vs NYM0Under
2026-04-14vs TEX0Under
2026-04-15vs TEX0Under
2026-04-16vs TEX1Over
2026-04-18vs CWS1Over
2026-04-18vs CWS1Over
2026-04-19vs CWS0Under
2026-04-21vs SEA0Under
2026-04-22vs SEA0Under
2026-04-22vs SEA0Under
2026-04-25vs TEX0Under
2026-04-25vs TEX0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Max Muncy’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.