EdgeTake

1B · CHC

Michael Busch — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
60
Hits
53
Per Game
0.88
Projection
0.81
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Michael Busch (CHC) has averaged 0.88 hits per game across 60 games this season, and the last 10 have been hotter at 1.2. They've gone over 0.5 in 60% of those games. Our model projects 0.81, a step above the market line of 0.59.

Next matchup

Next: vs ATH — their staff ranks 22 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 -175 BetRivers

At a line of 0.5 (betrivers), Michael Busch went over in 36 of 60 2026 games.

Our projection 0.81 vs market line 0.59 — edge +0.22.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.536/6060%
1.514/6023%
2.53/605%

Share of 2026 games Busch finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
1.20
Season avg
0.88

Over 0.5 in 8 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (30)
1.03
Away (30)
0.73
Home edge
+0.30

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-03-26vs WSH3Over
2026-03-28vs WSH1Over
2026-03-29vs WSH0Under
2026-03-30vs LAA0Under
2026-03-31vs LAA0Under
2026-04-01vs LAA2Over
2026-04-03vs CLE0Under
2026-04-04vs CLE0Under
2026-04-05vs CLE0Under
2026-04-06vs TB0Under
2026-04-07vs TB0Under
2026-04-08vs TB0Under
2026-04-10vs PIT0Under
2026-04-11vs PIT0Under
2026-04-12vs PIT1Over
2026-04-14vs PHI2Over
2026-04-15vs PHI0Under
2026-04-17vs NYM2Over
2026-04-18vs NYM1Over
2026-04-19vs NYM0Under
2026-04-20vs PHI1Over
2026-04-21vs PHI1Over
2026-04-22vs PHI2Over
2026-04-23vs PHI2Over
2026-04-25vs LAD2Over
2026-04-25vs LAD1Over
2026-04-26vs LAD1Over
2026-04-28vs SD0Under
2026-04-29vs SD0Under
2026-04-29vs SD0Under
2026-05-01vs AZ2Over
2026-05-02vs AZ1Over
2026-05-03vs AZ2Over
2026-05-04vs CIN0Under
2026-05-05vs CIN3Over
2026-05-06vs CIN1Over
2026-05-07vs CIN1Over
2026-05-09vs TEX1Over
2026-05-09vs TEX1Over
2026-05-10vs TEX1Over
2026-05-12vs ATL0Under
2026-05-13vs ATL0Under
2026-05-14vs ATL1Over
2026-05-15vs CWS1Over
2026-05-16vs CWS1Over
2026-05-17vs CWS1Over
2026-05-18vs MIL2Over
2026-05-19vs MIL0Under
2026-05-20vs MIL0Under
2026-05-22vs HOU0Under
2026-05-23vs HOU0Under
2026-05-24vs HOU2Over
2026-05-25vs PIT1Over
2026-05-26vs PIT1Over
2026-05-27vs PIT1Over
2026-05-28vs PIT0Under
2026-05-29vs STL3Over
2026-05-30vs STL1Over
2026-05-31vs STL2Over
2026-06-03vs ATH1Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Michael Busch’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.