1B · CHC
Michael Busch — Total Bases
2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Michael Busch (CHC) has averaged 1.4 total bases per game across 60 games this season, and the last 10 have been hotter at 1.8. They've gone over 0.5 in 60% of those games. Our model projects 1.37, a step above the market line of 1.17.
Next: vs ATH — their staff ranks 22 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
Over 0.5 -176 at Caesars — model 60% to hit, -5.2% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Michael Busch went over in 36 of 60 2026 games.
Our projection 1.37 vs market line 1.17 — edge +0.2.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 36/60 | 60% |
| 1.5 | 20/60 | 33% |
| 2.5 | 12/60 | 20% |
| 3.5 | 9/60 | 15% |
Share of 2026 games Busch finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 8 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases
| Date | Opp | Total Bases | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs WSH | 5 | Over |
| 2026-03-28 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-29 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-30 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs LAA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-03 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-06 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-14 | vs PHI | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-15 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-17 | vs NYM | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs NYM | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-19 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-20 | vs PHI | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-21 | vs PHI | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs PHI | 5 | Over |
| 2026-04-23 | vs PHI | 5 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs LAD | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs LAD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs LAD | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-28 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-01 | vs AZ | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-02 | vs AZ | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs AZ | 5 | Over |
| 2026-05-04 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs CIN | 6 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs CIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-07 | vs CIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-09 | vs TEX | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-09 | vs TEX | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-10 | vs TEX | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-12 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs ATL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-15 | vs CWS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs CWS | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-18 | vs MIL | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs HOU | 5 | Over |
| 2026-05-25 | vs PIT | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-26 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-28 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs STL | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs STL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-06-03 | vs ATH | 1 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Michael Busch’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.