EdgeTake

DH · CHC

Michael Conforto — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
38
Hits
21
Per Game
0.55
Projection
0.77
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Michael Conforto (CHC) sits at 0.55 hits per game through 38 games, with the last 10 dipping to 0.2. 42% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our projection of 0.77 sits above the market line of 0.67.

Next matchup

Next: vs ATH — their staff ranks 22 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 0.5 -105 at BetMGM — model 51% to hit, -0.8% EV.

Over 0.5 -105 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -125 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Michael Conforto went over in 16 of 38 2026 games.

Our projection 0.77 vs market line 0.67 — edge +0.1.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.516/3842%
1.54/3811%
2.51/383%

Share of 2026 games Conforto finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.20
Season avg
0.55

Over 0.5 in 2 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (18)
0.39
Away (20)
0.70
Home edge
-0.31

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-03-26vs WSH0Under
2026-03-29vs WSH0Under
2026-03-30vs LAA0Under
2026-03-31vs LAA0Under
2026-04-05vs CLE1Over
2026-04-06vs TB0Under
2026-04-07vs TB2Over
2026-04-08vs TB1Over
2026-04-11vs PIT1Over
2026-04-12vs PIT1Over
2026-04-13vs PHI0Under
2026-04-14vs PHI0Under
2026-04-19vs NYM1Over
2026-04-20vs PHI0Under
2026-04-25vs LAD1Over
2026-04-28vs SD0Under
2026-04-29vs SD1Over
2026-05-04vs CIN1Over
2026-05-05vs CIN0Under
2026-05-06vs CIN0Under
2026-05-07vs CIN3Over
2026-05-09vs TEX2Over
2026-05-09vs TEX1Over
2026-05-12vs ATL0Under
2026-05-13vs ATL0Under
2026-05-16vs CWS1Over
2026-05-17vs CWS2Over
2026-05-18vs MIL0Under
2026-05-19vs MIL0Under
2026-05-22vs HOU0Under
2026-05-23vs HOU0Under
2026-05-24vs HOU0Under
2026-05-25vs PIT0Under
2026-05-27vs PIT1Over
2026-05-28vs PIT0Under
2026-05-29vs STL0Under
2026-05-31vs STL1Over
2026-06-03vs ATH0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Michael Conforto’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.