DH · CHC
Michael Conforto — Home Runs
2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Michael Conforto (CHC) has averaged 0.11 home runs per game across 38 games this season, and the last 10 hold near that at 0.1. 11% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our model projects 0.12, below the market line of 1.25.
Next: vs ATH — their staff ranks 22 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Michael Conforto went over in 4 of 38 2026 games.
Our projection 0.12 vs market line 1.25 — edge -1.13.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 4/38 | 11% |
Share of 2026 games Conforto finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs
| Date | Opp | Home Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-30 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-06 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-13 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-14 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-20 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-04 | vs CIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-05 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs CIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-09 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-18 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-28 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-03 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Michael Conforto’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.