EdgeTake

DH · CHC

Michael Conforto — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
38
Total Bases
42
Per Game
1.11
Projection
1.43
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Michael Conforto (CHC) has averaged 1.11 total bases per game across 38 games this season, with the last 10 dipping to 0.6. The over on 0.5 has hit in 42% of games. Our projection of 1.43 sits above the market line of 0.9.

Next matchup

Next: vs ATH — their staff ranks 22 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 0.5 -105 at BetMGM — model 55% to hit, +7.6% EV.

Over 0.5 -105 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -125 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Michael Conforto went over in 16 of 38 2026 games.

Our projection 1.43 vs market line 0.9 — edge +0.53.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.516/3842%
1.513/3834%
2.55/3813%
3.54/3811%

Share of 2026 games Conforto finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.60
Season avg
1.11

Over 0.5 in 2 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (18)
0.89
Away (20)
1.30
Home edge
-0.41

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-03-26vs WSH0Under
2026-03-29vs WSH0Under
2026-03-30vs LAA0Under
2026-03-31vs LAA0Under
2026-04-05vs CLE1Over
2026-04-06vs TB0Under
2026-04-07vs TB2Over
2026-04-08vs TB2Over
2026-04-11vs PIT1Over
2026-04-12vs PIT2Over
2026-04-13vs PHI0Under
2026-04-14vs PHI0Under
2026-04-19vs NYM2Over
2026-04-20vs PHI0Under
2026-04-25vs LAD1Over
2026-04-28vs SD0Under
2026-04-29vs SD2Over
2026-05-04vs CIN4Over
2026-05-05vs CIN0Under
2026-05-06vs CIN0Under
2026-05-07vs CIN7Over
2026-05-09vs TEX3Over
2026-05-09vs TEX2Over
2026-05-12vs ATL0Under
2026-05-13vs ATL0Under
2026-05-16vs CWS2Over
2026-05-17vs CWS5Over
2026-05-18vs MIL0Under
2026-05-19vs MIL0Under
2026-05-22vs HOU0Under
2026-05-23vs HOU0Under
2026-05-24vs HOU0Under
2026-05-25vs PIT0Under
2026-05-27vs PIT4Over
2026-05-28vs PIT0Under
2026-05-29vs STL0Under
2026-05-31vs STL2Over
2026-06-03vs ATH0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Michael Conforto’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.