EdgeTake

2B · KC

Michael Massey — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
42
Runs
14
Per Game
0.33
Projection
0.35
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Michael Massey (KC) has averaged 0.33 runs per game across 42 games this season, and the last 10 have been hotter at 0.4. The over on 0.5 has hit in 31% of games. Our projection of 0.35 comes in under the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: @ MIN — their staff ranks 23 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +210 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -275 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Michael Massey went over in 13 of 42 2026 games.

Our projection 0.35 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.15.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.513/4231%
1.51/422%

Share of 2026 games Massey finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.40
Season avg
0.33

Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (22)
0.41
Away (20)
0.25
Home edge
+0.16

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-04-08vs CLE0Under
2026-04-10vs CWS0Under
2026-04-11vs CWS0Under
2026-04-12vs CWS0Under
2026-04-15vs DET1Over
2026-04-16vs DET0Under
2026-04-17vs NYY0Under
2026-04-18vs NYY0Under
2026-04-19vs NYY0Under
2026-04-20vs BAL0Under
2026-04-21vs BAL1Over
2026-04-22vs BAL1Over
2026-04-24vs LAA0Under
2026-04-25vs LAA1Over
2026-04-26vs LAA1Over
2026-04-29vs ATH0Under
2026-04-30vs ATH0Under
2026-04-30vs ATH0Under
2026-05-02vs SEA0Under
2026-05-03vs SEA1Over
2026-05-03vs SEA0Under
2026-05-05vs CLE1Over
2026-05-07vs CLE1Over
2026-05-08vs DET1Over
2026-05-09vs DET1Over
2026-05-10vs DET0Under
2026-05-12vs CWS0Under
2026-05-16vs STL0Under
2026-05-16vs STL0Under
2026-05-17vs STL0Under
2026-05-18vs BOS0Under
2026-05-19vs BOS0Under
2026-05-22vs SEA0Under
2026-05-23vs SEA0Under
2026-05-24vs SEA1Over
2026-05-25vs NYY0Under
2026-05-26vs NYY0Under
2026-05-27vs NYY0Under
2026-05-30vs TEX0Under
2026-05-31vs TEX2Over
2026-06-01vs CIN1Over
2026-06-02vs CIN0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Michael Massey’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.