EdgeTake

C · BOS

Mickey Gasper — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
18
Hits
18
Per Game
1.00
Projection
1.22
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Mickey Gasper (BOS) sits at 1 hits per game through 18 games, though the last 10 have cooled to 0.8. They've gone over 0.5 in 72% of those games. Our projection of 1.22 sits above the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: vs BAL — their staff ranks 25 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 -225 BetRivers

At a line of 0.5 (betrivers), Mickey Gasper went over in 13 of 18 2026 games.

Our projection 1.22 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.72.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.513/1872%
1.54/1822%
2.51/186%

Share of 2026 games Gasper finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.80
Season avg
1.00

Over 0.5 in 7 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (10)
0.90
Away (8)
1.13
Home edge
-0.22

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-05-10vs TB3Over
2026-05-12vs PHI1Over
2026-05-13vs PHI1Over
2026-05-14vs PHI0Under
2026-05-15vs ATL2Over
2026-05-16vs ATL1Over
2026-05-17vs ATL0Under
2026-05-18vs KC2Over
2026-05-19vs KC1Over
2026-05-20vs KC0Under
2026-05-22vs MIN0Under
2026-05-23vs MIN1Over
2026-05-24vs MIN0Under
2026-05-26vs ATL1Over
2026-05-27vs ATL1Over
2026-05-29vs CLE2Over
2026-05-31vs CLE1Over
2026-06-02vs BAL1Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Mickey Gasper’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.