C · BOS
Mickey Gasper — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 18 games this season, Mickey Gasper (BOS) is averaging 0.5 runs per game, and the last 10 have been hotter at 0.6. 44% of those games have finished over 0.5. We project 0.57, ahead of the 0.5 market line.
Next: vs BAL — their staff ranks 25 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Mickey Gasper went over in 8 of 18 2026 games.
Our projection 0.57 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.07.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 8/18 | 44% |
| 1.5 | 1/18 | 6% |
Share of 2026 games Gasper finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 5 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs PHI | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-13 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-15 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs ATL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-24 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs ATL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs ATL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-29 | vs CLE | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Mickey Gasper’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.