EdgeTake

C · BOS

Mickey Gasper — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
18
Total Bases
21
Per Game
1.17
Projection
1.4
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Over 18 games this season, Mickey Gasper (BOS) is averaging 1.17 total bases per game, with the last 10 dipping to 0.9. They've gone over 1.5 in 22% of those games. Our model projects 1.4, a step above the market line of 1.08.

Next matchup

Next: vs BAL — their staff ranks 25 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Under 1.5 -190 at Caesars — model 63% to hit, -3.7% EV.

Over 1.5 +145 BetRiversUnder 1.5 -190 Caesars

At a line of 1.5 (williamhill_us), Mickey Gasper went over in 4 of 18 2026 games.

Our projection 1.4 vs market line 1.08 — edge +0.32.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.513/1872%
1.54/1822%
2.52/1811%
3.51/186%

Share of 2026 games Gasper finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.90
Season avg
1.17

Over 1.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (10)
1.10
Away (8)
1.25
Home edge
-0.15

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-05-10vs TB5Over
2026-05-12vs PHI1Under
2026-05-13vs PHI1Under
2026-05-14vs PHI0Under
2026-05-15vs ATL2Over
2026-05-16vs ATL1Under
2026-05-17vs ATL0Under
2026-05-18vs KC2Over
2026-05-19vs KC1Under
2026-05-20vs KC0Under
2026-05-22vs MIN0Under
2026-05-23vs MIN1Under
2026-05-24vs MIN0Under
2026-05-26vs ATL1Under
2026-05-27vs ATL1Under
2026-05-29vs CLE3Over
2026-05-31vs CLE1Under
2026-06-02vs BAL1Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Mickey Gasper’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.