EdgeTake

LF · COL

Mickey Moniak — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
43
Runs
21
Per Game
0.49
Projection
0.48
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Mickey Moniak (COL) has averaged 0.49 runs per game across 43 games this season, while recent form sits lower at 0.1 over the last 10. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 33% of games this season. Our projection of 0.48 comes in under the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: vs MIL — their staff ranks 3 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +128 BetRiversUnder 0.5 -160 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Mickey Moniak went over in 14 of 43 2026 games.

Our projection 0.48 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.02.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.514/4333%
1.56/4314%

Share of 2026 games Moniak finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.10
Season avg
0.49

Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (23)
0.74
Away (20)
0.20
Home edge
+0.54

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-04-03vs PHI1Over
2026-04-05vs PHI0Under
2026-04-05vs PHI2Over
2026-04-07vs HOU0Under
2026-04-08vs HOU1Over
2026-04-08vs HOU0Under
2026-04-10vs SD0Under
2026-04-11vs SD0Under
2026-04-12vs SD2Over
2026-04-12vs SD0Under
2026-04-15vs HOU0Under
2026-04-16vs HOU0Under
2026-04-17vs HOU0Under
2026-04-18vs LAD1Over
2026-04-19vs LAD1Over
2026-04-19vs LAD2Over
2026-04-22vs SD0Under
2026-04-23vs SD1Over
2026-04-23vs SD3Over
2026-04-24vs NYM0Under
2026-04-25vs NYM0Under
2026-04-26vs NYM0Under
2026-04-28vs CIN0Under
2026-04-29vs CIN1Over
2026-04-30vs CIN0Under
2026-05-02vs ATL2Over
2026-05-03vs ATL2Over
2026-05-04vs NYM0Under
2026-05-06vs NYM0Under
2026-05-07vs NYM1Over
2026-05-08vs PHI0Under
2026-05-09vs PHI0Under
2026-05-10vs PHI0Under
2026-05-12vs PIT0Under
2026-05-13vs PIT1Over
2026-05-14vs PIT0Under
2026-05-16vs AZ0Under
2026-05-16vs AZ0Under
2026-05-17vs AZ0Under
2026-05-19vs TEX0Under
2026-05-20vs TEX0Under
2026-05-20vs TEX0Under
2026-05-22vs AZ0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Mickey Moniak’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.