EdgeTake

C · CHC

Miguel Amaya — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
32
Hits
18
Per Game
0.56
Projection
0.64
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Miguel Amaya (CHC) has averaged 0.56 hits per game across 32 games this season, with the last 10 dipping to 0.5. They've gone over 0.5 in 47% of those games. We project 0.64, ahead of the 0.5 market line.

Next matchup

Next: vs ATH — their staff ranks 22 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 -130 BetRivers

At a line of 0.5 (betrivers), Miguel Amaya went over in 15 of 32 2026 games.

Our projection 0.64 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.14.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.515/3247%
1.53/329%
2.50/320%

Share of 2026 games Amaya finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.50
Season avg
0.56

Over 0.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (17)
0.47
Away (15)
0.67
Home edge
-0.20

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-03-28vs WSH2Over
2026-03-31vs LAA1Over
2026-04-01vs LAA0Under
2026-04-03vs CLE1Over
2026-04-05vs CLE1Over
2026-04-06vs TB0Under
2026-04-07vs TB0Under
2026-04-11vs PIT0Under
2026-04-12vs PIT0Under
2026-04-13vs PHI2Over
2026-04-14vs PHI0Under
2026-04-15vs PHI1Over
2026-04-18vs NYM1Over
2026-04-20vs PHI0Under
2026-04-22vs PHI0Under
2026-04-23vs PHI1Over
2026-04-25vs LAD1Over
2026-04-29vs SD1Over
2026-05-02vs AZ0Under
2026-05-05vs CIN0Under
2026-05-06vs CIN0Under
2026-05-07vs CIN1Over
2026-05-14vs ATL1Over
2026-05-16vs CWS2Over
2026-05-17vs CWS0Under
2026-05-19vs MIL1Over
2026-05-20vs MIL0Under
2026-05-22vs HOU1Over
2026-05-23vs HOU0Under
2026-05-25vs PIT0Under
2026-05-28vs PIT0Under
2026-05-30vs STL0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Miguel Amaya’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.