C · CHC
Miguel Amaya — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Miguel Amaya (CHC) has averaged 0.47 runs per game across 32 games this season, while recent form sits lower at 0.4 over the last 10. 41% of those games have finished over 0.5. We project 0.46, short of the 0.5 market line.
Next: vs ATH — their staff ranks 22 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Miguel Amaya went over in 13 of 32 2026 games.
Our projection 0.46 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.04.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 13/32 | 41% |
| 1.5 | 2/32 | 6% |
Share of 2026 games Amaya finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | vs WSH | 2 | Over |
| 2026-03-31 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs LAA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-03 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-06 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-12 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-13 | vs PHI | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-14 | vs PHI | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-15 | vs PHI | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-20 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs PHI | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-23 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs LAD | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs CIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-14 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs HOU | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-23 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-28 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Miguel Amaya’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.