3B · CWS
Miguel Vargas — Hits
2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Miguel Vargas (CWS) has averaged 0.87 hits per game across 60 games this season, and the last 10 hold near that at 0.9. They've gone over 0.5 in 63% of those games. Our model projects 1.04, a step above the market line of 0.58.
Next: @ PHI — their staff ranks 16 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
Over 0.5 -175 at BetMGM — model 64% to hit, +0.5% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Miguel Vargas went over in 38 of 60 2026 games.
Our projection 1.04 vs market line 0.58 — edge +0.46.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 38/60 | 63% |
| 1.5 | 13/60 | 22% |
| 2.5 | 1/60 | 2% |
Share of 2026 games Vargas finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 6 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Hits
| Date | Opp | Hits | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs MIL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-03-30 | vs MIA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-03-31 | vs MIA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-01 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-02 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs TOR | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-05 | vs TOR | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-06 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-09 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-14 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-16 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs ATH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs ATH | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs AZ | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-23 | vs AZ | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-23 | vs AZ | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-24 | vs WSH | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-27 | vs LAA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-28 | vs LAA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs LAA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-02 | vs SD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs SD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs SD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-05 | vs LAA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs SEA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-09 | vs SEA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-10 | vs SEA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-12 | vs KC | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-13 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-14 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-15 | vs CHC | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-23 | vs SF | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-24 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-25 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-28 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs DET | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-01 | vs MIN | 3 | Over |
| 2026-06-02 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Miguel Vargas’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.